A prospective study of smoking and risk of breast cancer in young adult women.

OBJECTIVES To investigate the association between smoking and invasive breast cancers characterized by their estrogen receptor status in a large prospective study of mainly premenopausal women. METHODS 112,844 women aged 25-42 years in 1989 were followed 10 years; questionnaire information on medical illnesses and risk factors was collected biennially and information on diet was collected in 1991 and 1995. During this period of follow-up (1,077,536 person-years), 1009 incident breast cancer cases were documented. RESULTS In the multivariate-adjusted models, smoking status was not significantly related to overall breast cancer risk: compared with never smokers, the relative risks (RRs) were 1.18 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.36] for past smokers and 1.12 (95% CI 0.92-1.37) for current smokers. Increasing duration of smoking before the first pregnancy was associated with a greater risk of breast cancer, although little increase was seen in the highest category: compared with never smokers, RRs were 1.42 (95% CI 1.10-1.83) for 15-19 years of smoking and 1.10 (95% CI 0.80-1.52) for >/=20 years of smoking (P for trend = 0.01). Smoking was related most strongly to the risk of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancers. For women who had smoked for >/=20 years, the RR of estrogen receptor-positive cancer was 1.37 (95% CI 1.07-1.74) and the RR of estrogen receptor-negative cancer was 1.04 (95% CI 0.71-1.53). For smoking before age 15, the RRs were 1.49 (95% CI 1.03-2.17) for estrogen receptor-positive cancer and 1.19 (95% CI 0.69-2.08) for estrogen receptor-negative cancer. CONCLUSIONS Our results suggest that longer duration of smoking may be related to the risk of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer but possibly less so for estrogen receptor-negative breast cancer.